World Cup 2026 winner odds, day by day

The market's read on the 2026 FIFA World Cup, tracked daily. We take the outright winner odds for all 48 nations, strip the bookmaker margin (de-vig), average across sportsbooks, and store one snapshot per day, so you can watch the title race move. Spain leads at 58.0%.

Updated July 19, 2026 · 39 days tracked · 48 nations

Rank flow

Who's climbing the board

Video GIF Image
Starting odds · Jun 11Latest · Jul 19
Jun 11Jun 12Jun 13Jun 14Jun 15Jun 16Jun 17Jun 18Jun 19Jun 20Jun 21Jun 22Jun 23Jun 24Jun 25Jun 26Jun 27Jun 28Jun 29Jun 30Jul 1Jul 2Jul 3Jul 4Jul 5Jul 6Jul 7Jul 8Jul 9Jul 10Jul 11Jul 12Jul 13Jul 14Jul 15Jul 16Jul 17Jul 18Jul 191.Spain58.0%–SpainEliminated2.Argentina42.0%3ArgentinaEliminated39.Iraq0.0%5IraqEliminated4.France0.0%2FranceEliminated6.Norway0.0%3NorwayEliminated5.Switzerland0.0%11SwitzerlandEliminated3.England0.0%–EnglandEliminated17.Canada0.0%6CanadaEliminated8.Morocco0.0%4MoroccoEliminated13.Mexico0.0%2MexicoEliminated22.Algeria0.0%10AlgeriaEliminated19.Australia0.0%17AustraliaEliminated42.Curaçao0.0%4CuraçaoEliminated41.Czechia0.0%13CzechiaEliminated34.South Africa0.0%5South AfricaEliminated9.USA0.0%5USAEliminated7.Belgium0.0%4BelgiumEliminated23.Croatia0.0%5CroatiaEliminated10.Egypt0.0%19EgyptEliminated36.Saudi Arabia0.0%2Saudi ArabiaEliminated29.Japan0.0%16JapanEliminated47.Turkey0.0%26TurkeyEliminated31.Netherlands0.0%23NetherlandsEliminated40.New Zealand0.0%3New ZealandEliminated24.Bosnia & Herz.0.0%6Bosnia & Herz.Eliminated12.Portugal0.0%8PortugalEliminated35.Uruguay0.0%18UruguayEliminated44.Qatar0.0%3QatarEliminated30.Germany0.0%23GermanyEliminated16.Paraguay0.0%9ParaguayEliminated18.Ghana0.0%13GhanaEliminated15.Cape Verde0.0%27Cape VerdeEliminated46.Tunisia0.0%12TunisiaEliminated27.Ivory Coast0.0%–Ivory CoastEliminated43.Panama0.0%3PanamaEliminated33.Iran0.0%2IranEliminated28.Ecuador0.0%9EcuadorEliminated25.Senegal0.0%5SenegalEliminated11.Colombia0.0%1ColombiaEliminated37.Uzbekistan0.0%8UzbekistanEliminated48.Haiti0.0%1HaitiEliminated45.Jordan0.0%3JordanEliminated38.South Korea0.0%5South KoreaEliminated14.Brazil0.0%8BrazilEliminated20.DR Congo0.0%17DR CongoEliminated21.Austria0.0%3AustriaEliminated32.Scotland0.0%6ScotlandEliminated26.Sweden0.0%4SwedenEliminated
swipe ↔

▲ Biggest climber

Cape Verde
-0.1%▲24

No completed games yet

▼ Biggest faller

Turkey
-0.9%▼26
L0-2AustraliaJun 14L0-1ParaguayJun 20W3-2United StatesJun 26

Biggest single-game gains

AustraliaW 2-0 v Turkey+0.6%▲15
ParaguayW 5-4 v Germany+0.5%▲11
South AfricaW 1-0 v South Korea+0.1%▲6

Biggest single-game drops

NetherlandsL 3-4 v Morocco-5.3%▼22
GermanyL 4-5 v Paraguay-4.4%▼22
TurkeyL 0-1 v Paraguay-0.5%▼22
Standings

Title odds · Jul 19

1SpaSpain58.0%▲43.0pp
2ArgArgentina42.0%▲34.0pp
3IraIraq0.0%▼0.1pp
4FraFrance0.0%▼14.1pp
5NorNorway0.0%▼2.9pp
6SwiSwitzerland0.0%▼1.2pp
7EngEngland0.0%▼10.3pp
8CanCanada0.0%▼0.6pp
9MorMorocco0.0%▼1.6pp
10MexMexico0.0%▼1.2pp
11AlgAlgeria0.0%▼0.2pp
12AusAustralia0.0%▼0.1pp
13CurCuraçao0.0%–0.0pp
14CzeCzech Republic0.0%▼0.3pp
15SouSouth Africa0.0%▼0.1pp
16USAUSA0.0%▼1.5pp
17BelBelgium0.0%▼2.2pp
18CroCroatia0.0%▼1.0pp
19EgyEgypt0.0%▼0.3pp
20SauSaudi Arabia0.0%▼0.1pp
21JapJapan0.0%▼1.5pp
22TurTurkey0.0%▼0.9pp
23NetNetherlands0.0%▼4.1pp
24NewNew Zealand0.0%▼0.1pp
25BosBosnia & Herzegovina0.0%▼0.2pp
26PorPortugal0.0%▼9.7pp
27UruUruguay0.0%▼1.1pp
28QatQatar0.0%▼0.1pp
29GerGermany0.0%▼5.9pp
30ParParaguay0.0%▼0.4pp
31GhaGhana0.0%▼0.2pp
32CapCape Verde0.0%▼0.1pp
33TunTunisia0.0%▼0.2pp
34IvoIvory Coast0.0%▼0.3pp
35PanPanama0.0%▼0.1pp
36IraIran0.0%▼0.1pp
37EcuEcuador0.0%▼0.9pp
38SenSenegal0.0%▼0.9pp
39ColColombia0.0%▼2.2pp
40UzbUzbekistan0.0%–0.0pp
41HaiHaiti0.0%–0.0pp
42JorJordan0.0%–0.0pp
43SouSouth Korea0.0%▼0.2pp
44BraBrazil0.0%▼8.1pp
45DR DR Congo0.0%▼0.1pp
46AusAustria0.0%▼0.5pp
47ScoScotland0.0%▼0.4pp
48SweSweden0.0%▼0.6pp

Method. Probabilities are de-vigged from bookmaker outright odds (the overround is removed so the field sums to ~100%), averaged across the sportsbooks we track, and captured once per UTC day. Odds move on results, injuries and team news, not certainties. Not betting advice.

Keep exploring
Full odds boardWinner, group and match markets with fair probabilities.Groups & scenariosStandings and advancement probabilities.All 48 teamsProfiles, rosters, form and futures.World Cup hubFixtures, model and rich components.

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World Cup 2026 Winner Odds: Daily Title-Probability Tracker